☕ DrinkCoffeeAndProfit
Smart money moves before breakfast
Inspiration Quote for the Day
“Inflation is taxation without legislation.”
— Milton Friedman
The Morning Ritual
The Tax Break on Selling Your Home Was Set in 1997. Inflation Has Cut It in Half.
A For Sale sign went up on my street Thursday afternoon. The couple who own it have been there since the Clinton administration. Raised two kids in it, put a new roof on it twice. They paid something like `$148,000`. The asking price is close to three times that.
They think the sale is tax free. For the two of them, it very likely is. But if one of them had died three years ago, the same house at the same price would carry a tax bill in the tens of thousands. The whole difference is one number. Congress wrote it in 1997 and never touched it.
In One Sip
Sell your main home and you can exclude `$250,000` of the gain filing single, `$500,000` filing jointly. Those figures come from the Taxpayer Relief Act of 1997. Never indexed to inflation. Never raised.
The median American home sold for `$145,000` in 1997. The latest reading is `$410,700`. Nearly three times over.
Had that exclusion simply been indexed the way tax brackets are, it would stand at `$517,433` single and `$1,034,866` joint today. It still reads `$250,000` and `$500,000`.
So the shelter did not shrink because anybody voted to shrink it. It shrank because nothing happened. A single filer has quietly lost roughly `$267,000` of protection to the calendar.
Here is the piece almost nobody is told. When a spouse dies, the survivor drops from `$500,000` to `$250,000`. Unless the sale closes within two years of the death. That window sits in the tax code and nothing in the mail announces it.
Why It Matters for Your Money
Take a house bought at `$145,000`, worth `$700,000` today. Unremarkable in plenty of metro areas now. The gain is `$555,000`.
Married, both living, selling together. `$500,000` excluded, `$55,000` taxable, and at `15%` that is roughly `$8,250`. Uncomfortable, survivable.
Same house. Same price. One spouse died three years ago, so the two-year window has closed. Now `$250,000` is excluded and `$305,000` is taxable. At `15%` that is about `$45,750`, and a higher-income seller can owe more once the `3.8%` surtax applies.
Roughly `$37,500` separates those two outcomes. Not a different house, not a different price, not a different decision. A date on a death certificate and a clock nobody started.
The Wealth Angle
Friedman’s line at the top is not a slogan here. It describes the mechanism. Nobody stood up and proposed halving the protection on the family home. They wrote a fixed number in 1997 and let twenty-nine years of inflation do the work.
That is why unindexed numbers survive so long in a tax code. A rate increase has to be voted on and defended. A frozen number needs none of that. It sits there while the world gets more expensive around it, compounding every year without a headline.
Officials in Washington floated cutting the tax on home sales earlier this month, so it is at least being discussed. I would not plan around it. Proposals surface every few years and most go nowhere. Plan around the rule that exists today. Treat any change as a bonus.
Which leaves one lever genuinely in your hands, and it is not the exclusion. It is your basis.
☕ Key Insight:
Nobody voted to cut the tax break on your home in half. They wrote a number in 1997 and let the years finish the job. Frozen numbers are the quietest tax increase there is.
Coffee Break Move
Everybody who owns a home: Start a basis folder this morning. Your basis is what you paid plus every capital improvement you ever made. The roof. The addition. The kitchen. Windows, HVAC, the deck, the finished basement. Repairs do not count, improvements do. Every documented dollar comes straight off the taxable gain later. Twenty years in a house can easily mean `$100,000` of basis you would otherwise never prove. Start the folder even if you are not moving for a decade.
If you lost a spouse in the last two years: This one is a clock and it is already running. The `$500,000` exclusion may still be open to you, and it will not be later. That is a conversation with a tax professional this week, not next year.
One caution. These are federal rules. States handle it differently, the surtax depends on income, and inherited property follows its own path. None of this replaces a CPA before you sign a listing agreement.
That sign is still up on my street. Those two will almost certainly be fine, and I am glad. But the rule protecting them was written when gas cost a dollar and change. It has not moved since. Go find your receipts before the coffee gets cold.

Keep Reading